semifinalist in A Sentence

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    (All these NMS Semifinalist estimates are discussed in Appendix E.)29.

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    2

    The 2012 California NMS Semifinalist lists yield approximately the same ratios.

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    3

    When we consider the apparent number of Jewish students across the NMS Semifinalist lists of other major states, we get roughly similar results.

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    4

    My estimate of the ethnic distribution of that list is approximately 24% Asian, 19% Jewish, and 57% non-Jewish white, while the 2011 NMS Semifinalist total for Massachusetts was 355.

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    5

    For example, New York and California are the two states with the largest number of Jews, but New York Jews are almost twice as likely to achieve Semifinalist status as their California cousins.

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    6

    America's eight largest states contain nearly half our total population as well as over 60 percent of all Asian-Americans, and each has at least one NMS Semifinalist list available for the years 2010- 2012.

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    7

    Addendum: After publication of this article, the hundreds of energetic Internet commenters who analyzed and critiqued my findings managed to locate one additional state NMS Semifinalist list, supplementing the 43 that I had used.

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    8

    In men's singles, Kei Nishikori was finalist at the 2014 US Open and two ATP Masters 1000 tournaments, whereas Vijay Amritraj reached quarter-finals at four Grand Slams and was Semifinalist at the 1982 WCT Finals.

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    9

    Even this result may be a substantial underestimate, since over half these Asians are found in gigantic California, where extremely stiff academic competition has driven the qualifying NMS Semifinalist threshold score to nearly the highest in the country;

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    10

    As a partial counter-weight to this, Hawaii is half or more Asian, and its unimpressive Semifinalist threshold of 211 would tend to imply that the academic performance of its Asian population is far below the norms of other states;

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    11

    First, we are lacking the NMS Semifinalist lists for several sizable East Coast states, including New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Connecticut, which together with California and Maryland regularly represent the five highest performing PSAT states, based on NMS qualification threshold.

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    12

    Our primary interest is estimating the overall national percentages of the high performing students in each of these various racial and ethnic groups, and we must extrapolate these results from the limited available subset of NMS Semifinalist lists for twenty-five states.

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    13

    Jewish ability tends to be exceptionally strong in its verbal component and mediocre at best in the visuospatial, 57 so the NMS Semifinalist selection methodology would seem ideally designed to absolutely maximize the number of high-scoring Jews compared to other whites or(especially) East Asians.

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    14

    Therefore, determining the number of Nguyens and Kims in a state's NMS Semifinalist lists allows us to roughly estimate the total number of Vietnamese and Koreans, though obviously the size of the random error would be much larger than for most of our other calculations.

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    15

    This same pattern of relative Asian and Jewish performance on aptitude exams generally appears in the other major states whose recent NMS Semifinalist lists I have located and examined, though there is considerable individual variability, presumably due to the particular local characteristics of the Asian and Jewish populations.

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    16

    A much more significant issue is the widely different Semifinalist selection criteria across the states, with huge differences in qualification thresholds between states such as California and Massachusetts, with very high cut-off scores of 220, and states such as Mississippi, Oklahoma, and West Virginia, whose qualification scores of around 200 are near the bottom.

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    17

    As noted earlier, NMS Semifinalist lists are available for a total of twenty-five states, including the eight largest, which together contain 75 percent of our national population, as well as 81 percent of American Jews and 80 percent of Asian-Americans, and across this total population Asians are almost twice as likely to be top scoring students as Jews.

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